Showing posts with label Christianity. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Christianity. Show all posts
Saturday, 9 May 2015
Don't let ignorance spoil your trousers
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Nildogma
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Saturday, May 09, 2015
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argument from ignorance
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atheism
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Christianity
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faith
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God
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Proof of God
Transport yourself back in time six hundred years. Look up into the sky and see the sun. You don't know what it is but you know it gives off huge amounts of heat and light—enough to warm and illuminate the entire planet.
As you gaze at this celestial monster there is one thing you are sure of—something as powerful as that and so essential for human life could not have happened by accident—it must have had a designer. A designer who created it and put it in the perfect orbit to give the exact amount heat and the exact amount of day and night necessary to sustain all living things on Earth. At that moment, you fall to your knees and thank your god (whichever god you happened to believe in).
...
...
Returning to the 21st century, we have moved on. We understand our sun very well indeed. We know its chemistry and the physics that formed it and sustains it. We understand how it formed, how long it will live, how it will change over its lifetime and how it will die. And we know all of that is caused by natural, unguided processes.
We have learned so much in the intervening years that there are only a few deep mysteries remaining, such as the origin of life and the cause of the Big Bang.
But one thing has not changed. Still billions of people assume their gods are responsible for things they don't understand. It is wise to learn from history rather than repeat it. Don't be on your knees when the true origin of life is finally discovered. Get up, brush yourself off, and withhold belief until we actually know how it happened.
After all, trousers are valuable, and so is your dignity.
Friday, 8 May 2015
Can answered prayers prove God exists?
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Nildogma
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Friday, May 08, 2015
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Christianity
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faith
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Prayer
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Proof of God
Let's do a thought experiment. I'll start by inventing a god, I'm going to call her Ninfinity. She is very beautiful and she will answer your prayers. Not every prayer though, she will first decide if you are deserving and if you really believe in her. If you are, she will definitely answer your prayers 100% of the time. Ninfinity is very, very powerful. In fact, she can do ANYTHING that is logically possible.
As a second step, I will persuade some Facebook friends that Ninfinity is real. This is not hard. I was top salesman for five consecutive years at Boomah's Pussy Treats. I can sell anything to anyone.
Once I have some believers they will begin their prayers to her. Ninfinity answered her first prayer with ease. A believer was late for a job interview and struggling to find a parking space. He uttered the words, "Please Ninfinity. I know you can find me a space, please find me a space." Before he finished his prayer a car pulled out right in front of him leaving a free space.
The delighted believer, posted on Facebook his success with the car parking space and something even more amazing—against his expectations he was offered the job and he had not even asked his goddess to help. Clearly she knew what he wanted—she could read his mind.
With this answered prayer, Ninfinity's list of believers grew. And so did the list of positively reported prayers. Eventually she reached more than a million Facebook followers. As her popularity grew, so did her power and people reported ever more amazing answered prayers. People survived car wrecks, terminally ill people even recovered from cancer!
Of course, Ninfinity is imaginary, so she cannot really be answering prayers. It is obvious that people are just attributing successful outcomes to her and overlooking the prayers that were not answered. Nevertheless, many people find Ninfinity totally convincing. They love her and are certain she helps them. Some people feel they couldn't live without her and they tell their children all about her powers.
...
...
If you think this story is absurd, it is not. This is actually how billions of people think. The only difference is they don't believe in my invented god, they believe in a god invented 3,500 years ago by Hebrew tribesmen. Different god; same flawed thinking process.
The problem is, an invented god cannot answer prayers. So before you attribute your answered prayers to a god, first make sure that particular god exists. Arguing that answered prayers PROVE your favourite god exists is circular reasoning—you are ASSUMING your god exists and then attributing answered prayers to it.
Flawed thinking gives invalid conclusions. No answered prayer is ever proof that a god exists. Period.
Sunday, 19 April 2015
Religion and corruption
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Nildogma
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Sunday, April 19, 2015
Labels:
Christianity
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Corruption
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God
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Islam
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religion
There is no corruption-free country in the world—every country experiences some level of corruption. But the huge differences in the level of corruption between countries is striking. This much is well known.
What is less well known is how corruption is related to religiosity—the most religious countries tend to be the most corrupt countries. But how do I know this and what conclusions can we draw from it?
The chart shows public sector corruption vs religiosity for 140 countries (this is every country for which both corruption and religiosity data are available). See "Methodological notes" below for a fuller explanation of the datasets used.
The chart clearly shows that the most corrupt countries (Somalia, Sudan and Afghanistan) are very high on the religiosity scale whilst the least corrupt countries are very low on the religiosity scale (Denmark, New Zealand and Finland). It can be seen that this general relationship holds true for most countries.
It is interesting to look at the outliers—countries that are more corrupt (or less corrupt) than expected for their religiosity. I've drawn diagonal dotted lines to show the outliers. The countries that are more corrupt than their religiosity would suggest are all communist or ex-communist countries. I have marked Russia, Vietnam and Czech Republic but all the countries below the lower dotted line fall into this category.
The countries that are less corrupt than expected are a mixed bunch. Qatar and UAE are both Muslim countries but Malaysia and Singapore have many religions—Muslims being the biggest single group in Malaysia and Buddhists holding that position in Singapore.
It would be interesting to map GDP/capita (income) vs corruption. That may correlate even more closely than religiosity vs corruption. Nevertheless, the chart does illustrate the point that highly religious countries tend to be much more corrupt than irreligious countries.
Finally, correlation is not causation. So I am not saying that being religious MAKES people corrupt. It may, but this data cannot establish that. However, there is one conclusion that we can draw from this data; being religious does not make people honest and not being religious does not make people dishonest.
...........
Methodological notes.
Corruption is abuse of power for private gain. Transparency International is an organisation set up to monitor and expose corruption around the world. It has published the Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) annually for 20 years.
Corruption is abuse of power for private gain. Transparency International is an organisation set up to monitor and expose corruption around the world. It has published the Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) annually for 20 years.
The CPI rates the level of public sector corruption in a country on a scale of 0-100 where 0 is the highest possible level of corruption and 100 means totally free of corruption. Of course, corruption is hidden so it cannot be measured directly but the CPI uses multiple indicators and cross checks and is respected by governments and international organisations.
I have used the 2014 CPI data for my analysis which is the latest available.
A link to Transparency International's website is given below. There you can find a full description of their methodology and detailed data for 177 countries.
http://www.transparency.org/cpi2014/results
http://www.transparency.org/cpi2014/results
I use Gallup Poll research to measure religiosity. Gallup runs a poll from time-to-time which asks respondents "Is religion important in your daily life?" The least religious country measured in this dataset was Estonia with only 16% answering "Yes". There were three countries in which 100% of respondents answered "Yes"; Bangladesh, Niger and Somalia.
This Gallup data was from 2009 which is the latest available. Since both religiosity and corruption change slowly, it is unlikely the difference in collection dates will distort the correlation to a material extent.
The full dataset is available here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/w…/Importance_of_religion_by_country
http://en.wikipedia.org/w…/Importance_of_religion_by_country
Monday, 6 April 2015
God's IQ
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Nildogma
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Monday, April 06, 2015
Labels:
Bible
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Christianity
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God
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Jews
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Old Testament
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Yahweh
The average human has an IQ of 100. The very smartest humans have IQs
hovering around the 200 mark. Those blessed with such talent can do things that
the rest of us can only marvel at.
Kim Ung-yong was born in 1962 in Seoul, South Korea. He began speaking
Korean by the age of four months and by two and a half years of age, he could
read Korean, German, Japanese and English. He began a physics course at Hanyang
University at age three. At the age of eight, he was invited by NASA to study
in the Unites States. Kim's IQ was measured at 210 giving him, at that time,
the Guinness World Record for the highest IQ for a living person.
Now try to imagine the brain power of a person with an IQ of 1,000. This
is ten times the average IQ and five times higher than the prodigious Kim Ung-yong's
IQ. It's very hard to imagine what talents a person with such an IQ would have.
Try it.
But notch that up to an IQ of 1,000,000 and we can no longer
comprehend—thinking about such an IQ is far beyond our imagination. What would
a person with an IQ of 1,000,000 be able to achieve? Then realise that an IQ of
1,000,000 is MINISCULE compared to the intelligence God is said to have.
With that extraordinary thought in mind, think about the Bible. Much of
the Bible is said to have been written by prophets that God spoke to directly.
Even if we allow for the frailties, misunderstandings and mistakes of the
humans who put it on paper, the Bible should be a very special book indeed.
(And we should expect such an awesomely brilliant God to have chosen prophets
he could rely on to do a good job.)
Think about how much you could learn from the most brilliant human you
have ever read about, then multiply that by a few billion... You're probably
still not close to what God could teach you. So we should have the highest
expectations of the Bible. There should be no mistaking a book inspired by God.
But the Bible does not live up to expectations. The Bible is full of
discredited science, superstition and Iron Age morality. No, the Earth is not
flat, no the sun does not revolve around the Earth, no the Earth is not
stationary and no, it does not rest on pillars. Nor is it moral to hold slaves
or to sell your daughters as sex slaves or to stone disobedient children to
death.
Saturday, 24 January 2015
YAHWEH, the DIY God
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Nildogma
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Saturday, January 24, 2015
Labels:
Bible
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Christianity
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God
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Jews
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Old Testament
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Yahweh
It was quite a stroke of luck for the Jews. Out of all the peoples in the entire world, the 12 small tribes of Israel were the chosen people—they were personally chosen by God, who created the entire universe some 13.8 billion years earlier.
As if that was not enough, God promised them the lands of the Kenites, Kenizzites, Kadmonites, Hittites, Perizzites, Rephaites, Amorites, Canaanites, Girgashites and Jebusites AND he gave them permission to slaughter, rape, take slaves and pillage to conquer these lands. Incredibly lucky that God was so understanding.
God gave the Israelites laws to live by and they were lucky AGAIN! He turned a blind eye to the cruel habits of these Iron-Age herdsmen and allowed them to continue holding slaves, selling their daughters, stoning brides for not bleeding on their wedding night and even killing their children if they were unruly. God really wanted his chosen people to be happy.
To top it all, God stayed totally hidden until he revealed himself around 3,500 years ago. No-one knew anything about him before that moment (they already had plenty of other gods to worship). And who were the ONLY people on the planet he chose to reveal himself to? The Israelites!
It all worked out so well.
To top it all, God stayed totally hidden until he revealed himself around 3,500 years ago. No-one knew anything about him before that moment (they already had plenty of other gods to worship). And who were the ONLY people on the planet he chose to reveal himself to? The Israelites!
It all worked out so well.
It couldn't have been any better if the Israelites had made the whole thing up.
Saturday, 17 January 2015
Do you have to be stupid to believe in God?
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Nildogma
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Saturday, January 17, 2015
Labels:
atheism
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believe in God
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Christianity
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Christians
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faith
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God
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IQ and belief
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religion
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why believe
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why smart people believe
When I hear atheists saying people have to be stupid to believe in God, I am reminded of Christians who say you can't have morals without God.
Both statements are crass because the evidence is abundant. There are plenty of atheists with high moral values and plenty of smart people who believe in God.
But there is no evidence that God exists and almost all versions of God mandate belief in a magical, chaotic and undetectable supernatural realm. For those who take scripture to be literally true, belief in God rapidly spirals into absurdity. So how can smart people believe things like this?
It is easier to explain this by analogy. There is no doubt that smoking is harmful to our health. There is plenty of validated evidence that smoking significantly increases your risk of emphysema, chronic bronchitis, heart disease and many forms of cancer. Yet we probably all know smart people who smoke.
People smoke because it satisfies them and they rationalise away the evidence of risks. People believe in God because it satisfies them and they rationalise away the lack of evidence and all the contrary evidence.
So, belief in God is a preference, just like preferring redheads to brunettes and no-one is obliged to justify their preferences.
Actually, it is a little more subtle than that. The smart smoker is implicitly saying, I like to smoke and I am prepared to accept the risk to my health. And the smart believer is implicitly saying I like to believe in God and I accept the risk that my belief may not be true.
You may think I'm arguing that our unconscious preferences drive our behaviour and we are little more than spectators. There is more truth to that than most of us like to admit but there is plenty of evidence that our preferences can change and we can influence the process.
It's a fact that better educated people are less likely to believe in God (and less likely to smoke). So being smart can help you take control of your preferences; understanding the process can help everyone take control of their preferences
You don't have to be a spectator.
Saturday, 14 June 2014
How logic fails God-believers
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Nildogma
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Saturday, June 14, 2014
Labels:
atheism
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beliefs
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bill flavell
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Christianity
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Christians
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faith
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God
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logic and god
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religion
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why believe
Here is a simple problem of logic.
“Jack is looking at Anne, but Anne is looking at George. Jack is married but George is not. Is a married person looking at an unmarried person?” The answer can be "yes" or "no", or "cannot be determined".
Around 90% of people will get this wrong despite the fact that you are given all the information necessary to get it right.
Many of the people who fail to solve this conundrum are very sure about another, infinitely more difficult conundrum with highly incomplete information. They say, "Something cannot come from nothing therefore the universe must have been created by something outside of the universe. That something we call God".
People arrive at this conclusion:
1) Knowing it is based on inductive reasoning which never guarantees a correct conclusion (we never see something coming from nothing, therefore it cannot happen) .
2) Not knowing what, if anything, existed prior to the Big Bang.
3) Knowing the laws of physics (and, therefore, classical cause and effect) cannot have applied before matter appeared.
The Jack, Anne and George conundrum illustrates that humans typically have limited and highly fallible logic skills yet we can still be certain we have the correct answer to highly complex problems even when we lack the information to solve them.
So, for the avoidance of doubt, the "Something cannot come from nothing" argument is fatally flawed and you do yourself no credit if you repeat it.
Oh yes, the correct answer to the Jack, Anne and George conundrum is "yes". Did you get it right?
______________________________
If you need help with the logic...
Jack is married, George is not, Anne is either married or not.
If Anne is not married: a married person (Jack) is looking at an unmarried person (Anne).
If Anne is married: a married person (Anne) is looking at an unmarried person (George).
So, either way, a married person is indeed looking at an unmarried person. We have sufficient information to determine that a married person is looking at an unmarried person, but not which couple this applies to.
Read More
“Jack is looking at Anne, but Anne is looking at George. Jack is married but George is not. Is a married person looking at an unmarried person?” The answer can be "yes" or "no", or "cannot be determined".
Around 90% of people will get this wrong despite the fact that you are given all the information necessary to get it right.
Many of the people who fail to solve this conundrum are very sure about another, infinitely more difficult conundrum with highly incomplete information. They say, "Something cannot come from nothing therefore the universe must have been created by something outside of the universe. That something we call God".
People arrive at this conclusion:
1) Knowing it is based on inductive reasoning which never guarantees a correct conclusion (we never see something coming from nothing, therefore it cannot happen) .
2) Not knowing what, if anything, existed prior to the Big Bang.
3) Knowing the laws of physics (and, therefore, classical cause and effect) cannot have applied before matter appeared.
The Jack, Anne and George conundrum illustrates that humans typically have limited and highly fallible logic skills yet we can still be certain we have the correct answer to highly complex problems even when we lack the information to solve them.
So, for the avoidance of doubt, the "Something cannot come from nothing" argument is fatally flawed and you do yourself no credit if you repeat it.
Oh yes, the correct answer to the Jack, Anne and George conundrum is "yes". Did you get it right?
______________________________
If you need help with the logic...
Jack is married, George is not, Anne is either married or not.
If Anne is not married: a married person (Jack) is looking at an unmarried person (Anne).
If Anne is married: a married person (Anne) is looking at an unmarried person (George).
So, either way, a married person is indeed looking at an unmarried person. We have sufficient information to determine that a married person is looking at an unmarried person, but not which couple this applies to.
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About Me
- Nildogma
- As a 20-year-old I was insatiably curious about the world and passionate about rejecting superstitions and all kinds of false beliefs. I still am today. Sometimes when people believe things that are not true, it make little or no difference but sometimes the consequences can be disastrous and deadly. Now, I do what I can to help people improve their thinking skills, especially in how they impinge on core beliefs, such as cultural values and religious beliefs. I have an active Facebook page for which I create memes and write articles almost daily. I also engage people in on-line debates. You can find me here: https://www.facebook.com/bill.flavell.1 I lecture at universities around the world and present or debate at public meetings. I also, draw on my management consultancy background to help freethought groups, almost anywhere in the world, to get organised, develop strategy and improve their media and presentation skills. If you would like me to present at your university or for your church group or freethought group, please contact me.
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